This piece really made me think, especialy after your last post on Tesla's overall thesis; it's quite something to see the numbers bounce back like this. As a math teacher really into AI, I'm always looking for more detail on their 'real-world AI leader' claim, though the record EV deliveries do make a strong argument.
I also did not expect such a bounce, but lots of weird dynamics in many of their sectors lately and timing impacts... It is for the better! That's also why I treat Tesla differently from other stocks. Some companies deserve a special treatment.
Excellent comprehensive breakdown! The Hardware 5 chip being 40x better than AI4 is absolutley game-changing - especially since they deleted the legacy GPU and image signal processor to optimize for FSD-specific compute. The fact that only 12% of the current fleet has paid FSD means there's huge monetization potential once unsupervised driving gets regulatory approval. Energy growing 44% YoY to 12.5 GWh is becoming a real second pillar for the business. The $34B net cash and $3.99B FCF gives them tons of flexibility for 2026 capex on robotaxi and Optimus scaling. Your point about Elon's $350 purchase acting as psychological support is spot on - it's a clear signal of his confidence in the current valuation.
This piece really made me think, especialy after your last post on Tesla's overall thesis; it's quite something to see the numbers bounce back like this. As a math teacher really into AI, I'm always looking for more detail on their 'real-world AI leader' claim, though the record EV deliveries do make a strong argument.
I also did not expect such a bounce, but lots of weird dynamics in many of their sectors lately and timing impacts... It is for the better! That's also why I treat Tesla differently from other stocks. Some companies deserve a special treatment.
Excellent comprehensive breakdown! The Hardware 5 chip being 40x better than AI4 is absolutley game-changing - especially since they deleted the legacy GPU and image signal processor to optimize for FSD-specific compute. The fact that only 12% of the current fleet has paid FSD means there's huge monetization potential once unsupervised driving gets regulatory approval. Energy growing 44% YoY to 12.5 GWh is becoming a real second pillar for the business. The $34B net cash and $3.99B FCF gives them tons of flexibility for 2026 capex on robotaxi and Optimus scaling. Your point about Elon's $350 purchase acting as psychological support is spot on - it's a clear signal of his confidence in the current valuation.